Blog
24 Nov. 2025/
Real Estate Industry/

How AI Is Changing the Economics of Building Retrofits

Evan Petkov

For decades, retrofitting has been treated as a slow, costly, and compliance-driven exercise. But with climate regulation tightening, capital markets shifting, and technology advancing, that perception is quickly becoming outdated. Today, AI-powered retrofit planning is helping real estate teams move from reactive compliance to proactive value creation.

From Data Overload to Clear Pathways

Retrofit planning used to involve multiple disconnected spreadsheets, generic benchmarks, and long stakeholder debates. The result? Delayed action and missed opportunities.

Artificial intelligence changes that. By ingesting diverse datasets - from asset-level energy use and fabric condition to climate projections and regulatory requirements - AI can instantly generate scenario-based investment pathways.

Instead of asking “What’s the single best plan?”, AI enables you to explore “What’s the most resilient sequence of actions across multiple future scenarios?” 

With Optiml’s decision-intelligence platform, this means you can:

  • Simulate retrofit options in minutes, comparing whole-life cost, carbon, and risk.
  • Prioritise investments that deliver the best ROI under different energy price, regulatory, and climate futures.
  • Align finance, ESG, and engineering teams around a single evidence base.

The Financial Case Is Growing Stronger

The “brown discount” - the devaluation of inefficient, high-carbon assets - is already a reality. A 2024 MSCI study found that poorly rated buildings underperform on rental growth and valuation, while sustainable assets can command a measurable “green premium.”

Other research reinforces the business case:

  • 6–12% rental uplift for certified sustainable buildings, and 5–15% valuation loss for inefficient ones (JLL, 2024).
  • Stronger capital access for assets with credible, costed transition plans (GRESB, 2025).

Why the Timing Matters

  • Incoming Regulation: The EU’s Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD) recast requires staged renovation plans and minimum energy performance standards (European Commission, 2025).
  • Cost Pressures: Energy price volatility makes poorly insulated or outdated assets financial liabilities.
  • Investor Expectations: Science-Based Targets initiative (SBTi) commitments now cover over 7,600 companies globally (SBTi, 2025).

Future-Proofing with Optiml

AI-powered retrofit planning isn’t about replacing expertise - it’s about amplifying it. Optiml combines your asset data with AI-driven modelling to help you:

  • Avoid stranded-asset risk
  • Capture green-premium upside
  • Demonstrate progress to regulators, investors, and tenants

In a market where sustainability and profitability are no longer at odds, the winners will be those who make retrofit decisions faster, smarter, and with a long-term view.

Ready to see AI-powered planning in action?
Book a demo and discover how Optiml turns complexity into clarity.

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